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The New Zealand Mass Shooting Did gun control protect New Zealand and Australia?

By politicoid Leave a Comment Mar 15 0


What happened in New Zealand is tragic. It’s always incredibly sad when people lose their lives to disease. And let’s not kid ourselves, violence is a disease. But for a long time Australia specifically has been touted as a measure of success for gun control. And even New Zealand has relatively strict gun control laws, which require sponsorship and interviews in order to obtain a license.

But now an Australian has perpetrated a massive shooting in New Zealand, and the nation is shocked. But I’m honestly not surprised. There were a number of factors that provided a false sense of security, all of which equate to bad science. The first issue is assuming causation when all that could be determined was correlation. In my original article on the myth of Australia’s gun control success, I mentioned that gun related fatalities had declined considerably before the implementation of its gun control legislation.

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Keep an Eye on Political Sentiment of Market Movers

By politicoid Leave a Comment Mar 1 15

Back in November, I guessed right about Trump winning the election. However, I guessed wrong when it came to the direction the market would go. And I lost a fair amount of money because I failed to take something into account: the demographics of people who are market movers.« Continue »

Measuring Real Inflation Using Supply and Demand

By politicoid Leave a Comment Feb 6 135

Back in 2014, Perianne Boring wrote an article for Forbes on inflation. It was a good start. In the article, Boring used the change in supply of money as an estimate for inflation. But inflation is not simply the change in quantity of money. It is the change in its value. In order to estimate the change in value, we need to look at demand, in addition to supply.« Continue »

The Profile of the American Religious Rejectionist

By politicoid Leave a Comment Nov 14 0

My profile of the American Religious Rejectionist, which I am deciding to post in order to cite it in discussion. It is subject to change, just as my model of religion is.« Continue »

A Unified Psychological and Anthropological Model of Religion

By politicoid Leave a Comment Nov 13 0

This is a work in progress attempt to unify psychological and anthropological theory of religion.It is a different approach than the one taken in Religious or Secular, however, it is my hope that over time I can join these two approaches into a more robust model of religion. I am leaving the draft available to the public for feedback. If any piece of this draft is used in other work, please cite it appropriately, and be aware that the draft is likely to change considerably as time goes on.« Continue »

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